Large Population Death Forecasts are Becoming Boring

You can always tell someone has an agenda when they come out with forecasts of mass deaths in a population.

And yet most of the forecasts are WAY off the mark. Much more than actually happens.

They are after one of three metrics when they put out the large death predictions:

1. Attention

2. Sales (for the private sector)

3. Funding and/or control (for the public or government sector)

Call me Mr Doom and Gloom but I have become cynical over the years. It sounds horrible when you see headlines like ‘hundreds (or thousands or millions) will die’. But is it really that bad?

After something happens that causes people to lose money, there are also lots of ‘estimates’ of mass deaths that occurred because someone turned off the money spigot.

Check out what they are saying about USAID funding that was cut early on in the Trump administration.

A lot of the big headlines are geared towards obtaining more government funding. But people have been playing on people’s fears for millennia:

• An Assyrian Clay tablet from 2800BC said there are signs the world is quickly coming to an end

• Pope Innocent III used apocalyptic language in 1213 to help launch a crusade to the Holy Land.

• In 1499 German mathematician Johannes Stöffler predicted a flood that would engulf the world in about 25 years. Boat builders made a ton of money but nothing happened

During Covid the predictions of mass deaths were a little more accurate. They were predicting about 2.2 million deaths in the US and about 500,000 in the UK. The actual death tolls were about half of those numbers. Although some other predictions were wildly wrong.

In 2012 rumors of the end of the world according to the Mayan Calendar circulated and some people freaked out about it.

You’ll hear lots of talk about mass deaths upcoming if healthcare funding threatens to be cut.

Defend America Action is a political group specifically set up to oppose the policies of the current administration. Not a group interested in your best health outcomes. Same if it was a republican organization set up to oppose the previous administration.

Yet money from the government never seems to be cut. It’s just the threat. And yet the healthcare system in the US continues having problems even with lots of money.

On the other hand, interventions from the government (not so much in the private sector thank goodness) that do actually cause mass death noticeably lack any dire predictions beforehand.

Think about the War on Terror in Iraq and Afghanistan. About 940,000 people have been killed in these wars with another 3.6-3.8 million who died indirectly as a result.  When the US started the wars, there was no talk of mass deaths - only deaths of terrorists. And the emotional impact of the 3,000 people who died on September 11, 2001.

The funding was secured and lots of people would become wealthier. They didn’t want to talk about potential mass deaths then. It would not serve their agenda well.

I wanted to list off all these crazy predictions to suggest that you should not listen to them. The people who make them are using them for a purpose most likely.

You can’t change demographics. They are what they are. If you were in good health during the Covid pandemic, you had a REALLY good chance of surviving it. Worry about your particular situation. Don’t worry about the masses. I know that can be hard to do sometimes. It may sound selfish even.

Mass fear leads to mass control. When you are fearful you’re much more likely to follow bad advice. If you concentrate more on your own situation than the problems of the masses, you will have more freedom to fix your own issues and maybe the people around you.

And they won’t be able to ram their agenda down your throat.